Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.156589 0.176652 0.197750 0.221538 0.247560 0.275106 0.306416
2025-03-23 0.131922 0.159288 0.189587 0.225441 0.266518 0.311916 0.365687
2025-03-30 0.111456 0.142975 0.179490 0.224529 0.278174 0.339606 0.414827
2025-04-06 0.095729 0.129826 0.170985 0.223661 0.288569 0.365194 0.461692
2025-04-13 0.083120 0.118757 0.163445 0.222590 0.297713 0.388808 0.506359
2025-04-20 0.074435 0.111544 0.159710 0.225391 0.311067 0.417394 0.557495
2025-04-27 0.068442 0.107128 0.158931 0.231478 0.328348 0.451014 0.615569
2025-05-04 0.061577 0.100702 0.154745 0.232438 0.338561 0.475569 0.662529
2025-05-11 0.057189 0.097303 0.154276 0.238096 0.354883 0.508201 0.720502
2025-05-18 0.053379 0.094327 0.154041 0.243819 0.371227 0.541082 0.779448
2025-05-25 0.047996 0.088382 0.148976 0.242205 0.377101 0.559854 0.819901
2025-06-01 0.043640 0.083603 0.145208 0.242072 0.384781 0.581007 0.863794
2025-06-08 0.039276 0.078477 0.140654 0.240655 0.390749 0.600283 0.906169
2025-06-15 0.036878 0.076412 0.140671 0.246013 0.406612 0.633658 0.968663
2025-06-22 0.033538 0.072358 0.137182 0.245695 0.413941 0.655043 1.014860
2025-06-29 0.030497 0.068516 0.133721 0.245128 0.420715 0.675643 1.060268
2025-07-06 0.027701 0.064818 0.130197 0.244178 0.426718 0.695118 1.104350
2025-07-13 0.025855 0.062741 0.129264 0.247308 0.439002 0.723962 1.162386
2025-07-20 0.024710 0.061925 0.130448 0.253926 0.456869 0.761397 1.233563
2025-07-27 0.022834 0.059420 0.128425 0.254995 0.465893 0.785750 1.286033
2025-08-03 0.021813 0.058592 0.129370 0.261108 0.483104 0.822742 1.357751
2025-08-10 0.020867 0.057825 0.130354 0.267278 0.500528 0.860370 1.431058
2025-08-17 0.019012 0.054845 0.126952 0.265547 0.504887 0.877999 1.474752